BLUE PEACE

                           “ BLUE PEACE”

                      By Ayele Teklemariam

             Ever since iI read the article I have been aching to do some study and an expose if i could because the issue runs down every Ethiopian Sudanese and Egyptian blood like the river niles water that runs in every citizen of those three countries and those concerned friends of the people mentioned. Normalcy in all parts of those countries peace and prosperity in those countries is a precondition for  the normal flow of the niles waters as is the blood flows in the veins of the citizens of those countries. Like all revers of the world simple natural processes and human factors are negatively affected and arenas will continuously affect the health of the Nile bar any one parties or all parties intentional or inadvertent creation of instability in any parts of the natural social and environmental ecosystem of the river. 

         As have been proven time and again in almost all places where such river basins are shared and transitional river flows are prevalent ,a social, political or other disturbances to the upper river basins are often carriers of malaise of shortage disease and curse to  the nations in the lower river lands. It is perhaps thermodynamic reality that every thing that flows flows from a higher to a lower elevation,  can do work and that could often be good work or bad and whatever happens up the river basine some how gets carried down the line and in a more roles cumulative ways that whatever happens up the line as well could often have a tendency of being magnified just like the size of the water flow. 

        Considering the afore mentioned logic it is rather those living in the lower regions of the river’s flow who ought be concerned more about the health and well being of the upper basins  than those in the upper river basins for the effects of any severe or light happenstance is rather minimal compared to what could happen  down stream where by the tendency is that every minor adversity upstream is magnified by scales down stream.

        The concerns of the water level’s decrease in the lower lands is as equally concerning t to the people in the upstream  as there are natural and human factors both with in their powers and without, global warming and Eastward south East  push of the Sahara , The northward and westward push of the Danakil deserts are phenomena’s that may not be fully controlled yet could be retarded by phenomenal human united efforts that could lead to the alleviation of the scare of reduced water levels both in the upper regions and lower regions. 

         A stable prosperous upper region community and lower region communities that will work in he preservation and protection of the river basins eco system instead of infighting intra-fighting is a better a cheeper and civilized guarantee to the ever flow of the water down the banks,  it  is perhaps a crystal ball hidden behind curtain that ought be unveiled. the destabilized ,impoverished war torn upper basin is a sure way to get less and much less water downstream that it is rather to a grater advantage of the lower basin that the upper basins is well off  to protects and fight against the watershed destruction than against itself or others that could guarantee the fair and equitable water flow to its lower basin neighbors yet the better the cooperative lower basin neighbors.

        Yes for the naive observer to see a body of water barricaded behind a dam is intimidating and perhaps scary, but what should be scary is the deforested barren mountains of the highland that could not provide the small streams that fead to the river’s flow unless reforested where tripped of their threes and protected where they still stand. Yes the dam barrier could be filled by a single or a few torrent in a season or two or even few more that could have run down the valley and ended up at the Mediterranean, but could hardly guarantee the normal steady flow that humanity of the basin could maximize its utility, The science seems uncompromisingly clear as to the correlation between deforestation drought and socio political and economic stability that i need say much but remind the lower basin people to focus their worries where their mouth is and turn their focus where the real enemy is and the real prospects are. 

        Their focus ought not be the building of a dam or a thousands dams up the river that could be filled by torrents of rain that course wistful and even dangerous floods but the overall health of the river basin, that correlates with the health stability their upper level basin friends and brothers. Be mindful that it is the plague that strike the upper river basins that could get carried down the river and you can not secure your water interests by spreading plague up the river but by fighting it out with them.     

ref:

https://bluepeaceindex.eiu.com/#/